Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.458313 0.524094 0.595059 0.677193 0.769518 0.869970 0.987417
2025-05-18 0.352153 0.440375 0.543304 0.671781 0.827336 1.009038 1.236781
2025-05-25 0.278209 0.378239 0.503725 0.671552 0.888816 1.159121 1.519224
2025-06-01 0.225367 0.331455 0.473859 0.676810 0.956017 1.323620 1.840591
2025-06-08 0.181467 0.287678 0.439675 0.669568 1.004123 1.467976 2.153055
2025-06-15 0.153654 0.261102 0.424186 0.684540 1.083046 1.661574 2.553727
2025-06-22 0.126401 0.229850 0.396069 0.675531 1.124278 1.804526 2.896642
2025-06-29 0.108242 0.209650 0.381404 0.684191 1.191987 1.992258 3.324077
2025-07-06 0.089453 0.184534 0.354211 0.667612 1.215938 2.113161 3.658734
2025-07-13 0.080108 0.174784 0.351722 0.692149 1.310062 2.354427 4.207420
2025-07-20 0.072413 0.166667 0.350686 0.718583 1.409650 2.613232 4.807661
2025-07-27 0.063666 0.154641 0.340204 0.725605 1.474466 2.817639 5.332487
2025-08-03 0.055241 0.141802 0.326423 0.724953 1.526110 3.005927 5.850699
2025-08-10 0.047989 0.130100 0.313073 0.723178 1.575173 3.193975 6.385472
2025-08-17 0.042132 0.120446 0.302502 0.725528 1.632326 3.401942 6.974722
2025-08-24 0.037443 0.112676 0.294824 0.732867 1.700140 3.635936 7.632388
2025-08-31 0.032548 0.103258 0.281725 0.726174 1.737449 3.813172 8.195161
2025-09-07 0.029613 0.098535 0.279104 0.743015 1.826983 4.102109 9.000047
2025-09-14 0.025764 0.090286 0.266274 0.733772 1.857491 4.272537 9.580413
2025-09-21 0.023259 0.085467 0.261485 0.743414 1.931708 4.540238 10.380180
2025-09-28 0.019997 0.077450 0.246711 0.725726 1.940030 4.667536 10.896666
2025-10-05 0.018721 0.075651 0.248902 0.752325 2.056894 5.040783 11.963173
2025-10-12 0.017607 0.074151 0.251708 0.780924 2.181554 5.441099 13.116702